Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
PolitiqueYearlyPolitique américaineÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81.3%
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51
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 55 minutes
En retard7 nov. 24, 23:46 UTC21 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump’s approval rating at the end of his second term be at least as low as Joe Biden’s?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating get during his term?
KalshiIf protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiRègles
According to Silver Bulletin.
- If they stop doing approval ratings (as FiveThirtyEight did), another reliable source will be used.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
