Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
PolitiqueYearlyUS PoliticsÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 81.7%
Prévisionnistes
49
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète7 nov. 24, 23:46 UTC21 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
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KalshiRègles
According to Silver Bulletin.
- If they stop doing approval ratings (as FiveThirtyEight did), another reliable source will be used.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 82% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term? doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : According to Silver Bulletin.