PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 84%-1.0pt
Qualité du marché
38 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
272,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
12.0% / 20.0%
Écart
8.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
5 nov. 25, 19:05 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will long-term capital gains tax rate (federal) be increased in the US by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by which date?
Polymarket🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027? (USA)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto?
KalshiWill federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026?
KalshiFederal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
- The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
- Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 84% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.