UK Autumn Budget 2026: will any main capital gains tax rate rise?
One-OffRégulationMacro et économie16jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 65%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
22 sept. 26, 14:32 UTC28 oct. 26, 12:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
YES if the 18% or 24% main rate (or either residential property rate) is increased, with any start date.
- Changes only to reliefs, allowances or carried interest resolve NO.
- Polymarket priced a CGT increase at 61% on 21 Sep 2026.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.