KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune activité de trading
Données au 11 sept. 2026, 14:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
At least 1730K 0%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
26 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueÉcart
9.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
10 sept. 26, 17:45 UTC17 sept. 26, 12:29 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.3% in September 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExFed Decision in September?
PolymarketUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least
- 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 5, 2026.
- The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week.
- The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
- 1740K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+17.0pt80.2%
- No change-16.0pt18.8%
- 50+ bps increase-0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 104,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 M €
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs96%
- Above 450,000 jobs94%
- Above 452,500 jobs84%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 100,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,4 k €
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%96%
- Above 3.3%+23.0pt88%
- Above 3.1%86%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,3 k €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-2.0pt4%
- Volume total
- 2,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,3 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
- -0.3% to -0.1%+1.5pt33.7%
- 0.0% to 0.2%+3.0pt29.5%
- <-0.3%+2.4pt9.5%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP93%
- Above -4.5% of GDP84%
- Above -4.0% of GDP51%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 21,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,3 k €
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- China Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- GDP growth in 2026
- Unemployment in September
- Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026?
- Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- 2026: Trump's bad year?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 ?
- Kalshi cote At least 1730K à 0% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 doit être résolu le 17 septembre 2026.
- Comment Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least