KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above 150 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
Carnet reçu (pas l’heure de cotation de la plateforme): —
Prix enregistré
Above 150 Achat–vente enregistré95%–96%Collecté: Dernière transaction: 96% · Heure de transaction inconnuePrix en pourcentage du versement, avant frais ; ces observations enregistrées ne sont pas des cotations exécutables.En tête parmi 11 options
Above 150 Achat–vente enregistré95%–96%Collecté: Dernière transaction: 96% · Heure de transaction inconnuePrix en pourcentage du versement, avant frais ; ces observations enregistrées ne sont pas des cotations exécutables.Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
12,4 k €
Intérêt ouvert
11,7 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Above 150Écart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
9 oct. 26, 16:00 UTC20 oct. 26, 13:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above 150
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
Carnet reçu (pas l’heure de cotation de la plateforme): —
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)
KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 150
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 160
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 160 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 170
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 170 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 180
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 180 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 190
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 200
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 210
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 210 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 220
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 220 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 230
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 230 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 250
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 250 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 240
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 240 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.