KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 69%+6.0pt
Qualité du marché
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
51,3 €
Liquidité
2,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
63.0% / 70.0%
Écart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
1 mai 24, 12:00 UTC31 déc. 31, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiUS meets its climate goals?
KalshiAre "Permanent ‘climate lockdowns’ coming, whether people like it or not."?
Manifold MarketsWill the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
Manifold MarketsWill climate change decimate humans before 2070?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?
KalshiRègles
If India has reduced the emission intensity of its GDP by 45% relative to the 2005 level by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Indian government
Marchés ouverts
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 541,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 334,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8 k €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 10,7 k €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume total
- 612,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,9 k €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 2,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3 k €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour India meets its 2030 climate goals? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 69% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand India meets its 2030 climate goals? sera-t-il résolu ?
- India meets its 2030 climate goals? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2031.
- Comment India meets its 2030 climate goals? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If India has reduced the emission intensity of its GDP by 45% relative to the 2005 level by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.