Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
Politique américaineMétéoOne-Off2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 57.5%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète25 nov. 23, 09:13 UTC9 sept. 29, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia be classified as a "flawed democracy" by 2030?
Manifold MarketsEU debt classified as sovereign before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2025-26 US flu season be classified as "high severity" by the CDC?
Manifold MarketsScrewworm National Emergency declared by which date?
PolymarketTrump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This will resolve based on a Supreme Court decision.
- If a subgroup of the "Letzte Generation" is classified as a criminal organization, this resolves Yes.
- If it becomes unreasonable to believe there is going to be a Supreme Court decision at all, for example if the "Letzte Generation" ceases to exist and there are no ongoing legal proceedings which might lead to a decision, this will resolve No.
