EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027?
EuropeOne-OffObligations et bons du TrésorMacro et économie2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 58.3%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
20 nov. 25, 20:35 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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FutuurRègles
The market resolves YES if, at any time before 1 January 2027, any of the following index providers formally classifies European Union–issued debt as sovereign debt:
- Bloomberg Index Services Limited (including Bloomberg/Barclays fixed-income index classifications)
- FTSE Russell (including classifications relevant for the World Government Bond Index and related benchmarks)
- ICE Data Indices
- A classification counts only if it appears in official methodology documents, index-provider announcements, or other public statements issued directly by the institution and clearly designating EU-issued debt (including, but not limited to, NextGenerationEU bonds) as sovereign.
- If none of these providers adopt such a classification before the 1 January 2027, the market resolves NO.