Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.3%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète29 sept. 22, 05:21 UTC7 juin 31, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the UK be a democracy or flawed democracy in 2034?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel be a 'full' or 'flawed democracy' according to the Democracy Index in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat would be Burkina Faso classified as in The Economist Democracy Index for 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if Russia reaches a 6.00 Democracy Index according to the Economist's 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, or 2030 reports.
- (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy_Index)