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Non 92%
Non 92%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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757 €
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketGerman troops deployed in Ukraine by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill US troops be deployed to Ukraine-Russia border in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will deploy troops to Ukraine in 2026?
FutuurRègles
This event predicts whether the Russian Federation will complete a full withdrawal of its military troops from the internationally recognized territory of Georgia at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements by the Russian or Georgian governments, or verified international monitoring reports confirming withdrawal.
- If Russia fully withdraws all military personnel from Georgian territory during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Partial withdrawals or redeployments that leave any Russian military presence in Georgia will not count.
- If official confirmations are disputed, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.