Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.4%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 30 minutes
17 mars 25, 05:29 UTC1 janv. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will US troops be deployed to Ukraine-Russia border in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFrench, Polish, German and/or British troops deployed to Ukraine by end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketIf NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia remove troops from Georgia in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolves according to the Wikipedia page
- https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auslandseins%C3%A4tze_der_Bundeswehr which tracks abroad missions of the Bundeswehr.
- Resolves Yes if there is
- an ongoing mission (table "Laufende Einsätze") in Ukraine with a start date before 2027
- an other mission / commitment ("Weitere Missionen / einsatzgleiche Verpflichtungen") in Ukraine with a start date before 2027
- Resolves to official statements if the Wikipedia page ceases to exist or stops being updated.