PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
September 29 30%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
8,7 mil €
Liquidez
30,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
4.8 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 minutos
22 sept 26, 23:38 UTC30 sept 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump visit Moscow (capital of Russia) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the largest gay club in Moscow shut down in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWas the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 316%
- September 30-0.3pt0%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 65 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 381,5 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt62%
- October 31-6.0pt33%
- September 30-4.0pt8%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+0.7pt14%
- Save the Children+2.4pt12%
- Yulia Navalnaya-0.5pt7%
+28 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.0pt79.2%
- Yes-4.0pt20.8%
- Volumen total
- 11 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 209,6 mil €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25-0.1pt97%
- September 30-1.0pt90%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 185,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volumen total
- 60,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 162,9 mil €
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Trump renames AI by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Zelenskyy say during the United Nations General Assembly?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Ukraine target Moscow on??
- Polymarket cotiza September 29 al 30% a fecha de 23 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Ukraine target Moscow on??
- Está previsto que Will Ukraine target Moscow on? se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Ukraine target Moscow on??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time.