PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable
Probabilidad implícita actual
August 31 91%+5.8pt
Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad media
Volumen 24h
4,9 mil €
Liquidez
16,8 mil €
Liquidez media
Compra / Venta
88.5% / 93.2%
Spread
4.7 pt
Spread moderado
Comments
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
21 ago 26, 19:1031 ago 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Moscow time.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow.
An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Ukraine target Moscow by which date??
Polymarket cotiza August 31 al 91% a fecha de 23 de agosto de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Ukraine target Moscow by which date??
Está previsto que Will Ukraine target Moscow by which date? se resuelva el 31 de agosto de 2026.
¿Cómo se liquida Will Ukraine target Moscow by which date??
Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Moscow time.