Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)Rusia / UcraniaOne-OffTecnología3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 16%-1.0pt
December 31 16%-1.0ptCalidad del mercado
45 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
29,1 mil €
Liquidez
6,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
- / 0.1%
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-1.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
8 jul 26, 15:36 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
September 30Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the railroad station (48.578748° N, 37.616899° E) located in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances