PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualDecember 31 21%+2.5%
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,5 mil €
Liquidez
25,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
14.3%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+2.5%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
8 jul 26, 15:3631 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
December 3121%
Tendencia de volumen
$1.7k8 jul20d de datos27 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the railroad station (48.578748° N, 37.616899° E) located in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.