Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?
Geopolítica
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes
Resuelto: 24 nov 2023, 7:30
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 122 días
Desactualizado13 nov 23, 18:3030 nov 23, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces a humanitarian pause of at least 24 consecutive hours between November 12 and 30, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a humanitarian pause is defined as "A temporary pause in the fighting for a short period for humanitarian purposes, one that may be designed to allow people to leave a conflict area, repairs to be made, or bring in humanitarian relief or other supplies, etc."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Israel announces a 24h+ humanitarian pause will take place, regardless of whether it actually occurs.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.