PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualNo 90%
Calidad del mercado
71 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
19,4 €
Liquidez
57,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
9.5% / 9.6%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-1.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 minutos
30 ene 26, 23:3131 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes10%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 90% | — | 19,4 € | 57,6 mil € | hace 20 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets90% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 90% | — | — | — | hace 36 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Alberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026?
5m
90%
10%
Pronóstico comunitario38 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$222 jul26d de datos28 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.