KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Precio guardado
Before Jan 1, 2028 54%
Before Jan 1, 2028 54%Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
44,8 €
Interés abierto
8,5 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
27 ene 26, 15:00 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2028
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kenya vs Papua New Guinea
PolymarketKenya vs Papua New Guinea
KalshiWill Bougainville Island achieve independence from Papua New Guinea before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Papua New Guinea hold its 2027 national election on schedule?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketReglas
If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:the Associated PressReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsBBC NewsFinancial TimesThe GuardianPoliticoCNNFox NewsABC NewsCBS NewsNBC NewsAl Jazeera EnglishDeutsche WelleFrance 24 EnglishNHK World-JapanChannel NewsAsiaThe South China Morning PostThe Times of IndiaThe Globe and MailABC News Australia
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies. Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify. Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify. Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.