KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaMiddle East5m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualNo 93%
Calidad del mercado
77 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
3,6 mil €
Liquidez
16,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
7.2% / 7.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+3.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
1 may 26, 22:1531 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes7%
Tendencia de volumen
$4.1k3 jul23d de datos27 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.