PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 94%
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
43,1 €
Liquidez
8,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
6.1% / 6.2%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
3
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
1 may 26, 22:15 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 94% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31??
- Está previsto que KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.