Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10?
Geopolítica
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No
Resuelto: 11 nov 2023, 0:02
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 147 días
Desactualizado3 nov 23, 19:2110 nov 23, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel enters a ceasefire in exchange for hostages held by Hamas by November 10, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (UTC + 2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a ceasefire will be considered a publicly announced and mutually agreed upon halt in military engagement between Israel and Hamas. For this market to resolve "Yes", the referenced entities must enter the ceasefire and the hostages must be exchanged before the resolution date, regardless of the de facto length of the the ceasefire.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.2pt78%
- October 31+18.5pt65%
- September 30+13.0pt42%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1 M €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.8pt100%
- August 31+4.0pt96%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-6.0pt60.4%
- Yes+6.0pt39.6%
- Volumen total
- 8,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 285,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 51,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 230,6 mil €
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+0.5pt68%
- December+2.0pt53%
- September 30,+3.5pt25%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)72%
- New People (NL)-0.2pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 resultados más
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 100% a fecha de 31 de marzo de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10??
- Está previsto que Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? se resuelva el 10 de noviembre de 2023.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel enters a ceasefire in exchange for hostages held by Hamas by November 10, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (UTC + 2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".