PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 8 sept 2026, 21:50 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
September 30 28%+1.5pt
Calidad del mercado
23 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
432,9 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 1.0%
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-15.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
26 ago 26, 18:50 UTC30 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Somali pirates seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date EAT (UTC +3).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Seize control refers to Somali pirates taking custody of or asserting operational control over a commercial ship, including boarding and taking control of the ship, holding or detaining it for an indefinite period, or forcefully rerouting it to a location selected or controlled by the perpetrators.
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Once a qualifying seizure has occured, any subsequent abandonment, release, rescue, recapture, or other loss of control will not affect the resolution of this market.
- Missile/drone strikes or any other form of kinetic attack not resulting in the seizure of the targeted ship will not be considered, regardless of damage occured.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza September 30 al 28% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by which date??
- Está previsto que Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by which date? se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Somali pirates seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date EAT (UTC +3).