Aviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 8 sept 2026, 23:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
October 31 4%+0.6pt
Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
7,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
- / 0.1%
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
7 jul 26, 23:26 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
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This market resolves to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen’s departure as Member of the National Assembly of France from the 11th constituency of Pas-de-Calais is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The departure will be considered to be announced when Marine Le Pen, the National Assembly of France, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Le Pen has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Member of the National Assembly of France from the 11th constituency of Pas-de-Calais.
- Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position.
- Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).