PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 97%+0.6pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
25,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
2.6% / 4.1%
Spread
1.5 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
1
Cambio 7d
-1.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
12 ene 26, 16:44 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
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PolymarketJerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercados abiertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 96,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,4 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt62.4%
- Fed maintains rate-10.0pt34.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 37,4 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt58.1%
- Fed maintains rate35.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.3%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 384,1 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 resultados más
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 80,4 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
- Fed Decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Jerome Powell in jail before 2027??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Jerome Powell in jail before 2027??
- Está previsto que Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Jerome Powell in jail before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.