Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 96.6%
Pronosticadores
50
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado12 ene 26, 2:12 UTC12 ene 27, 2:11 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?
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PolymarketJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill the next mayor of NYC be indicted while in office?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution Criteria
- Federal prosecutors have opened a criminal investigation of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, but this market resolves YES only if Powell is formally indicted.
- An indictment requires a grand jury to return a formal written accusation charging Powell with a crime.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records or credible reporting from major news outlets confirming a formal indictment has been filed.
- The market resolves NO if no indictment is filed by December 31, 2026.
- The Department of Justice served the Federal Reserve with grand jury subpoenas threatening a criminal indictment related to Powell's testimony before the Senate Banking Committee in June.
Mercados abiertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 45,5 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 resultados más
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volumen total
- 997 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 41,2 mil €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted??
- Está previsto que WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted? se resuelva el 12 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria