KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualBefore Jan 31, 2028 80%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
70 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
383,5 €
Liquidez
204,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
21.0% / 22.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
11 feb 26, 1:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before Jan 1, 202720%
Operaciones grandes
$6.8k95.0%KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — Nohace 6 d
KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — Nohace 6 dTendencia de volumen
$4362 jul27d de datos28 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
1,1 mil €Kevin Warsh: 92%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]
219,8 €Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
139,3 €Before 2027: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
41,8 €Kevin Hassett: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?
35,6 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
0 €Sí: 71%FUTUUR
FUTUURActivos en estos temas
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Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatterBlockchain.NewsReglas
If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An acknowledgment that Jerome Powell will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of his legally mandated term limit does not resolve to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office.
- An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency.
- Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes.
- Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal.