Este mercado se resolvió: October 31
Resuelto: 4 sept 2026, 1:35
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 4 sept 2026, 1:32 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
October 31 100%+58.5ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,6 mil €
Liquidez
2,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+54.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado31 jul 26, 22:451 ene 27, 4:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
October 3192%
December 3199%
99%
100%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered.
- Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
- Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
- An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
