PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
October 31 88%+0.5ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
69 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
20,5 mil €
Liquidez
20,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComments
16
Cambio 7d
-8.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
1 ago 26, 21:5231 oct 26, 23:59
Tendencias
0%
Reglas
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.4pt97%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 201 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+10.0pt95%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,-1.0pt89%
- October 31,+7.0pt81%
- October 15,+42.5pt66%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.8pt68.6%
- Grok-1.8pt9.8%
- ChatGPT-2.5pt9.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7,8 M €
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani+2.0pt34%
- Pope Leo XIV-1.0pt17%
- Donald Trump+1.0pt14%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 864,5 mil €
GEMINIBMW Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy16.3%
- Chris Gotterup9.3%
- Wyndham Clark8.4%
+30 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 30,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 28,5 mil €
- Best AI this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- XRP price on August 31
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- New York Y vs Baltimore
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de OpenAI’s Astra released by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza October 31 al 88% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve OpenAI’s Astra released by which date??
- Está previsto que OpenAI’s Astra released by which date? se resuelva el 31 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida OpenAI’s Astra released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.