KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualBefore 2027 60%-1.0%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
80 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
2,7 mil €
Liquidez
22,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
59.0% / 63.0%
Spread
6.8%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
25 jun 26, 19:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before 202760%
También disponible en Manifold Markets
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date
1m
0%
0%
0%
+22 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario151 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total40 mil €
Volumen 24h446,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.