KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Before Sep 18, 2026 (99%)
Resuelto: 7 sept 2026, 15:43
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 7 sept 2026, 15:05 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Cronología de Probabilidad
Before Aug 14, 20262%
Before Oct 16, 202699%
Before Sep 18, 202699%
Before Dec 1, 202699%
Before Nov 1, 202699%
Before Sep 18, 2026Ganada
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdida
Before Oct 16, 2026Perdida
Before Nov 1, 2026Perdida
Before Dec 1, 2026Perdida
Before Aug 14, 2026Perdida
Before Aug 21, 2026Perdida
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdida
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Reglas
Reglas archivadas a nivel de evento. Los términos exactos de cada resultado ya no están disponibles.
If OpenAI releases Astra the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:OpenAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," an internal model described by OpenAI as its next major frontier system, citing results including the resolution of ten previously open mathematics problems - https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/
- Qualifying Release: The Payout Criterion is satisfied if OpenAI releases a model that either (a) is publicly named "Astra" (including numbered, lettered, or suffixed variants such as "Astra 1," "Astra 6," or "GPT-6 Astra"), or (b) is confirmed by OpenAI, or by a consensus of credible reporting, to share the same underlying model — including the same base architecture, weights, or training run — as the model referenced in OpenAI's August 1, 2026 disclosure, regardless of the commercial name, safety configuration, or access tier under which it is ultimately released.
- A separately-branded release that is derived from or built on the same underlying model as the disclosed Astra model satisfies this clause even if OpenAI markets it as a distinct product (e.g., a safety-restricted variant or a differently-priced tier), provided the shared underlying model is confirmed by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.