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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. IA
  3. AI capability growth this year?
AI capability growth this year?

AI capability growth this year?

9.0% (24h)IATecnologíaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
At least 1650 score
At least 1650 score 9%-9.0%
Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0,5 €

Liquidez

204,7 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

6.0% / 9.0%

Spread

50.0%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 10 minutos

6 ene 26, 15:001 ene 27, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

At least 1650 score9%

Reglas

If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercados Relacionados

AI capability growth before July?

AI capability growth before July?

127,3 €
At least 1550 score: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

1,7 mil €
Sí: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

315,9 €
Sí: 26%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Which "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?

86,6 €
Mainstream narrative shift: 71.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027

86,6 €
Sí: 26.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

75,9 €
$8/MTok or below: 24%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,863.19+2.00%SolanaSOL$65.23+1.73%EthereumETH$1,658.75+1.33%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.40%BNBBNB$601.17+2.46%XRPXRP$1.12+0.50%

Noticias Relacionadas

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Reglas

If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.