Probabilidad implícita actual
<17% 38.8%+11.5ptLíder entre 4 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
3,7 mil €
Liquidez
35,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
20 ago 26, 18:21 UTC20 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share??
- Polymarket cotiza <17% al 39% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share??
- Está previsto que Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share? se resuelva el 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.