Probabilidad implícita actual
8-11% 52.5%+0.5ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
76 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
2,6 mil €
Liquidez
34,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+15.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
20 ago 26, 18:34 UTC20 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.