KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 5% 92%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
85,9 €
Liquidez
85,9 €
Baja liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
8 sept 26, 23:00 UTC20 sept 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
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PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?
PolymarketCDU above 5% in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by CDU in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share??
- Kalshi cotiza At least 5% al 92% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share??
- Está previsto que Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share? se resuelva el 20 de septiembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by CDU in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.