KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 18% 77.6%Líder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
19 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,5 mil €
Baja liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
21 ago 26, 19:00 UTC6 sept 27, 16:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by CDU in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Landeswahlleiter des Landes Sachsen-Anhalt
- The percentage is the Christian Democratic Union's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Saxony-Anhalt state election: CDU vote percent?
- Kalshi cotiza At least 18% al 78% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Saxony-Anhalt state election: CDU vote percent?
- Está previsto que Saxony-Anhalt state election: CDU vote percent se resuelva el 6 de septiembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Saxony-Anhalt state election: CDU vote percent?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by CDU in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.