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  3. Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?
Manifold Markets

Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?

PolíticaOne-OffEuropeElección12m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
Below - 1 10.8%
Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores

2

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 horas

Desactualizado
18 jun 26, 12:5718 jun 27, 21:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Below - 111%

Reglas

n = number of seats AfD wins in the 6 September 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election.

Manifold Markets
  • V = highest valid votes cast for Ulrich Siegmund in any single Minister-President ballot where he's a candidate, across the first government-formation process after that election.
  • Resolves to V − n
  • Abstentions, invalid ballots, and votes for other candidates don't count toward V.
  • Resolves N/A if Siegmund is never a candidate in any Minister-President ballot before a new government is formed.

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Reglas

n = number of seats AfD wins in the 6 September 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election.

Manifold Markets
  • V = highest valid votes cast for Ulrich Siegmund in any single Minister-President ballot where he's a candidate, across the first government-formation process after that election.
  • Resolves to V − n
  • Abstentions, invalid ballots, and votes for other candidates don't count toward V.
  • Resolves N/A if Siegmund is never a candidate in any Minister-President ballot before a new government is formed.