Pronóstico comunitario actual
Above 4 32.2%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado18 jun 26, 12:57 UTC18 jun 27, 21:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Ulrich Siegmund become the Prime Minister of Saxony-Anhalt by the end of the year (2026)?
Manifold MarketsWill the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?
Manifold MarketsSaxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketNext Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiNext minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsReglas
n = number of seats AfD wins in the 6 September 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election.
- V = highest valid votes cast for Ulrich Siegmund in any single Minister-President ballot where he's a candidate, across the first government-formation process after that election.
- Resolves to V − n
- Abstentions, invalid ballots, and votes for other candidates don't count toward V. Resolves N/A if Siegmund is never a candidate in any Minister-President ballot before a new government is formed.