PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
4.2% 30.6%-0.5ptLíder entre 9 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
61 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
648,4 €
Liquidez
9,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Cambio 7d
+3.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
7 ago 26, 17:104 sept 26, 8:30
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Comparacion de fuentes de prediccion
Referencia CoinRithm 4.2% 33% · 2 plataformas · banda de 0 pt
- También disponible en Kalshi — Unemployment rate in Aug 2026? · Exactly 4.2% 26%
- También disponible en ForecastEx — Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in August 2026? · No 97%
- También disponible en Limitless — August Unemployment Rate · 4.2% 29%
- También disponible en Futuur — US unemployment rate — August 2026 · Above 3.7% 95%
Mercados abiertos
Economy
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-6.0pt22%
- Volumen total
- 196,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 17 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 106,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,5 mil €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Volumen total
- 2,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 9,9 mil €
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 mil €
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.7%96%
- Above 3.8%96%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 229,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,5 mil €
POLYMARKETJapan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
- 0.0%–0.8%+19.5pt25%
- 0.8%–1.6%+18.5pt21%
- -0.8%–0.0%+2.0pt18.6%
+7 resultados más
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI in August
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de August Unemployment Rate?
- Polymarket cotiza 4.2% al 31% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve August Unemployment Rate?
- Está previsto que August Unemployment Rate se resuelva el 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida August Unemployment Rate?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
- ¿Dónde más está listado August Unemployment Rate?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi, ForecastEx, Limitless, Futuur.