Will there be a serious lawsuit against AGI development because x-risk, in the West before 2030?
ChinaOne-OffCrime & Justice3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 61%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado12 dic 24, 15:49 UTC1 ene 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Taken seriously by the court
- Specifically cite global catastrophic risk, risk to humanity, or something equivalent
- May be against a company, person, or government
- Must be against a meaningful attempt to build AGI (current frontier labs count).
- A lawsuit that a government that isn't developing AGI isn't doing enough to govern it, doesn't count.
- Doesn't have to be in a US court, but China is excluded.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a serious lawsuit against AGI development because x-risk, in the West before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 61% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a serious lawsuit against AGI development because x-risk, in the West before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will there be a serious lawsuit against AGI development because x-risk, in the West before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a serious lawsuit against AGI development because x-risk, in the West before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Taken seriously by the court