Will there be a second shooting event related to the Bondi Beach mass shooting within one year?
One-OffCrime & JusticeSociety & Culture3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 97.5%
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10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado14 dic 25, 11:41 UTC14 dic 26, 11:38 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
On the 14th of December 2025, a terrorist mass shooting was carried out by two men at Bondi Beach in Sydney, Australia, targeting a Jewish community during a large Hannukah celebration
- This is the largest mass shooting in Australia since the Port Arthur massacre almost 30 years ago, with 16 dead at the time of writing
- I'll define a shooting event as one in which shots are fired at people, though not requiring deaths or injuries
- If a shooting event occurs, resolution (re: whether it's related to the Bondi Beach shooting) will be based on official police statements
- I won't bet on this question in case resolution is ambiguous
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a second shooting event related to the Bondi Beach mass shooting within one year??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a second shooting event related to the Bondi Beach mass shooting within one year??
- Está previsto que Will there be a second shooting event related to the Bondi Beach mass shooting within one year? se resuelva el 14 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a second shooting event related to the Bondi Beach mass shooting within one year??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: On the 14th of December 2025, a terrorist mass shooting was carried out by two men at Bondi Beach in Sydney, Australia, targeting a Jewish community during a large Hannukah celebration