Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado13 abr 25, 18:20 UTC1 ene 31, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution Criteria:
- The market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the specified period, the U.S. economy meets both of the following conditions:
- Duration and Depth of Economic Decline:
- The U.S. experiences a continuous period of economic downturn lasting at least 24 months, during which there is a cumulative decline in real GDP of 10% or more.
- Unemployment Rate:
- The national unemployment rate reaches 15% or higher for six consecutive months.
