Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 54.8%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado7 abr 26, 1:17 UTC23 sept 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiWill German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?
Manifold MarketsThe current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to Yes if the German government officially enacts legislation to increase the standard or reduced Value Added Tax (VAT) rate (Mehrwertsteuer) before the date of the next German federal election.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. In Germany, the value-added tax (VAT), known as Mehrwertsteuer (MwSt), is a consumption tax collected on goods and services.
- Since 2007, the standard VAT rate in Germany has remained at 19%, with a reduced rate of 7% applicable to essential goods and services such as food, books, and public transport.
- Any change to these rates requires federal legislative action, which is subject to intense political debate and public scrutiny.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 55% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election??
- Está previsto que Will the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election? se resuelva el 23 de septiembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria