Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 63%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado11 sept 23, 10:56 UTC1 ene 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves YES if the French national railway operator SNCF (or any legal structure that is clearly a successor of current day SNCF) operates 15 or more permanent night train lines, concurrently, at any time before Jan 1st 2027.
- I reserve the right to N/A on ambiguity after discussion in the comment.
- A line qualifies if it has a different terminus than all other operating lines, and if it operates year-long on a regular schedule (does not need to be daily, but does need more than weekly, and not only in the summer/winter).
- Night train lines qualify if they are labeled as such, and contain sleeping accommodation (not just a very late train)
- There is currently 6 SNCF operated night train lines (all of them of course qualify under the aforementioned criteria) with plan for another one opening in 2023.
- This is up from 2 in the 2010's but down from double digit numbers in the 60-70's
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will SNCF operates 15+ night train line before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 63% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will SNCF operates 15+ night train line before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will SNCF operates 15+ night train line before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will SNCF operates 15+ night train line before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the French national railway operator SNCF (or any legal structure that is clearly a successor of current day SNCF) operates 15 or more permanent night train lines, concurrently, at any time before Jan 1st 2027.