Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 90.4%
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado17 jun 23, 14:53 UTC1 ene 30, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Ukraine accept a peace deal that cedes contested land in Donetsk and/or Luhansk?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia recognize the independence of Transnistria in 2026?
FutuurTerritory of Essequibo confirmed as part of Guyana by the International Court of Justice (ICJ)?
FutuurWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by which date?
PolymarketReglas
(https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-ukraine-officially-recognize-a-dfa487cade92)
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+10.5pt95%
- September 30+7.5pt85%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 483,5 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.5pt63%
- October 31+3.0pt39%
- September 30+1.0pt10%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+2.2pt98%
- September 25+9.3pt97%
- September 23+11.5pt86%
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volumen total
- 58,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 163 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 316%
- September 30-0.4pt1%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-ukraine-officially-recognize-a-dfa487cade92)