FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 88%
No 88%Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1 mil €
Baja liquidezTraders
6
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia target Kyiv on?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This event predicts whether the Russian Federation will formally recognize Transnistria as an independent sovereign state at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements or decrees issued by the Russian government recognizing Transnistria’s independence.
- If Russia officially declares recognition of Transnistria as an independent state during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Conditional recognition or statements short of formal recognition may require intent-based assessment by Futuur.
- If official Russian statements are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.