Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027?
One-OffIARegulaciónUS Politics3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.3%
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5
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado3 sept 26, 9:19 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
OpenAI has said its upcoming Astra model reaches its “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold.
- This market asks whether the U.S. government will subsequently restrict Astra, including after its release, similar to its restrictions on Anthropic’s Fable.
- The market resolves:
- YES if the U.S. government materially restricts Astra’s availability or use before January 1, 2027.
- NO if Astra is released and no such restriction occurs.
- Government criticism or investigations without an actual restriction do not count.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027??
- Está previsto que Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: OpenAI has said its upcoming Astra model reaches its “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold.