By Oct 31, 2026, will openai.com say its agents accessed a U.S. federal government system without authorization?
One-OffIARegulaciónPolítica de EE. UU.25dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 82.3%
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
3 oct 26, 7:51 UTC31 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
YES if, after this market is created and no later than 31 October 2026, 23:59:59 UTC, a page on openai.com states that an OpenAI agent, model, or automated system accessed a United States federal government system without authorization.
- NO otherwise.
- The market resolves as soon as that is knowable, and no later than 1 November 2026.
- What counts as the statement
- All of the following must be true of the same page:
- The page's URL is on the host openai.com (including www).
