KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above 250 6%-3.0ptLíder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
87 €
Liquidez
14,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
31 ago 26, 21:00 UTC8 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If the Carbon Arc Gemini App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Gemini App Downloads was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 132,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 322,4 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Gemini App Downloads in September?
- Kalshi cotiza Above 250 al 6% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Gemini App Downloads in September?
- Está previsto que Gemini App Downloads in September se resuelva el 8 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Gemini App Downloads in September?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Carbon Arc Gemini App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.