Will OpenAI Astra solve a math problem Claude Opus 5 deems more important than the Jacobian Conjecture?
IAOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 71%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
1 ago 26, 1:30 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketWill OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Claude Opus released by which date?
PolymarketClaude Opus 5.1+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsClaude Opus 5 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsReglas
The Information reported that OpenAI solved 10 previously unsolved math problems with their soon-to-be released "Astra" model family. https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/exclusive-openai-previews-astra-ai-model-dc
- I asked Claude Opus 5 (without internet) to name the 20 most important unsolved math problems, and it named the Jacobian Conjecture the 20th most important with the following list above it:
- Riemann Hypothesis
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
- Langlands Functoriality
- abc Conjecture
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 132,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 322,4 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will OpenAI Astra solve a math problem Claude Opus 5 deems more important than the Jacobian Conjecture??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 71% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will OpenAI Astra solve a math problem Claude Opus 5 deems more important than the Jacobian Conjecture??
- Está previsto que Will OpenAI Astra solve a math problem Claude Opus 5 deems more important than the Jacobian Conjecture? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will OpenAI Astra solve a math problem Claude Opus 5 deems more important than the Jacobian Conjecture??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The Information reported that OpenAI solved 10 previously unsolved math problems with their soon-to-be released "Astra" model family. https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/exclusive-openai-previews-astra-ai-model-dc