Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026?
Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffGeopolíticaMiddle EastChina21dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 89%
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado21 ago 26, 1:43 UTC30 sept 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?
KalshiUS reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by which date?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
PolymarketUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
PolymarketWill the Iranian Regime fall before October?
MyriadWill the Iranian Regime fall before October?
MyriadReglas
Resolves YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026, the U.S. Treasury's OFAC newly designates a bank headquartered in mainland China and the designation explicitly cites facilitating trade with Iran or Iranian oil.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Designations of non-bank companies, Hong Kong-only entities, or banks designated solely for unrelated conduct do not count.
- Primary source: OFAC sanctions programs and press releases.
- The market closes 12 hours before the deadline.
Mercados abiertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.4%-1.5pt100%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 273,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,6 mil €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.85%-26.0pt41%
- 4.82%-37.5pt39%
- 4.91%-12.5pt35%
+6 resultados más
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.74% or above99%
- 4.72% or above99%
- 4.66% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,1 mil €
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5.17% or above99%
- 5.11% or above99%
- 5.13% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6 mil €
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.35% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 5,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,5 mil €
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.53% or above99%
- 4.47% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 5,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,1 mil €
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- SOFR for September 8, 2026
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026? se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026, the U.S. Treasury's OFAC newly designates a bank headquartered in mainland China and the designation explicitly cites facilitating trade with Iran or Iranian oil.