Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 57.5%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado1 may 26, 23:29 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Vietnam's real GDP grow by at least 12% in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 0.5% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the official annual real GDP growth rate for Mexico in the calendar year 2026 is reported as 1.4% or higher.
- It resolves to "No" otherwise.
- The primary source for resolution will be the Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI) via their official press releases or the Banco de México (Banxico).
- Specifically, the market will resolve based on the final annual growth figure for 2026 as reported in early 2027.
- If preliminary data is used, the market will resolve once the annual growth estimate is finalized by these institutions.
Mercados abiertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 97,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,9 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 702,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 89,3 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+7.0pt73%
- September Meeting+10.5pt64%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+5.0pt79.2%
- No-5.0pt20.8%
- Volumen total
- 7,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 43,1 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 400,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 34,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-5.0pt44.3%
- 2 (50 bps)+7.0pt28.3%
- 0 (0 bps)-5.5pt17%
+3 resultados más
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI core in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 58% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria