Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.6%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado6 abr 26, 6:59 UTC1 ene 31, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReal GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Vietnam's real GDP grow by at least 12% in 2026
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2030?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2034?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Mexico's real GDP growth for the full calendar year 2026 is reported as 1.6% or greater by the Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI).
- Otherwise, it resolves to "NO."
- The resolution will be based on the official final or revised annual GDP data published by INEGI (https://www.inegi.org.mx/).
- If the official annual report is not available by November 1, 2027, the market will resolve based on the most recent, reputable data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) or the World Bank.
Mercados abiertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 97,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,8 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 702,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 91 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 400 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,5 mil €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volumen total
- 2,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,9 mil €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 73% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria