KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 4.5% 26%+0.8ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
56 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,2 mil €
Liquidez
197,9 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
8.6 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
19 mar 26, 16:0014 feb 27, 13:29
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 7.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparacion de fuentes de prediccion
Mercados abiertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHIUS electricity price in August
- Above 19.2¢+3.0pt99%
- Above 19.4¢+2.0pt93%
- Above 19.6¢56%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 35,5 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes-1.0pt55.5%
- No+1.0pt44.5%
- Volumen total
- 6,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 11,5 mil €
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause+3.0pt67%
- Pause–Pause–Cut+0.1pt1%
- Other-2.0pt32%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting-1.0pt32%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 0 (0+4.0pt45.1%
- 1 (25-1.0pt38.2%
- 2 (50-0.5pt14.7%
+3 resultados más
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How high will inflation get this year??
- Kalshi cotiza At least 4.5% al 26% a fecha de 23 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How high will inflation get this year??
- Está previsto que How high will inflation get this year? se resuelva el 14 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How high will inflation get this year??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado How high will inflation get this year??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.